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Napoli and Fiorentina measure their strength at the Stadio San Paolo in a meeting for Coppa Italia (Quarter-Finals). At this stage, the history of direct confrontations is favorable to the home team, which has 3 wins and 1 loss in the last 4 games. In fact, the last time they met in this stadium was on 18-10-2015, in a match for Serie A TIM that ended with the Napoli victory by (2-1). The goals of the match were scored by L. Insigne (46 ‘) and G. Higuain (75’) for Napoli and N. Kalinić (73 ‘) for Fiorentina. In this match the home factor may play an important role, since Fiorentina presents significant differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.
Napoli
The home team arrives at this stage of Coppa Italia (Quarter-Finals) after having eliminated Spezia after a 3-1 home win on the previous tie. This is a team little affected by the home factor, that is, presents similar results at home and away, since in the last 30 matches has 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats as a visitor, with 31 goals scored and 16 conceded, against 10 victories , 3 draws and 2 defeats at home, with 36 goals scored and 19 conceded. The team arrives at this meeting after a win away to Milan by (1-2). Napoli won 6, drew 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 home games for all competitions. The team have conceded goals to their opponents in 8 of the last 10 games, so their defense needs to improve, but their attack has scored regularly, as they have scored at least one goal in the last 10 games. In their home games there is a tendency to score goals, as 52 of their last 59 games have finished with over 1.5 goals and 41 in 59 have finished with over 2.5 goals. There are 1 highlights in the last 16 home games in all competitions: he suffered 7 of his 19 goals in minutes (76’-90 ‘).
The Napoli team come to this game, with a win against AC Milan, 1-2, registering the fourth consecutive win in official matches, one of them by Coppa Italia: the goals were scored by Insigne and Jose Callejón. In the home team, coach Maurizio Sarri must maintain a 4-3-3 cleantability and also their attacks blocked. Dries Mertens is the great highlight of Napoli with 12 goals and 5 assists. Analyzing the 10 previous games it is possible to notice that the team of the house presents great offensive competence, being that they scored in average 2.9 goals per game. For this game the coach can not count on Milik, injured, besides Ghoulam and Koulibaly, players that dispute the CAN.
Fiorentina
The visiting team reaches this phase of Coppa Italia (Quarter-Finals) after eliminating Chievo with a 1-0 home win on the previous tie. This is a stronger team when you play in your stadium, because in the last 30 games you have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses as a visitor; Against 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in his stadium. The team arrives in this match after a win away with Chievo by (0-3). In the last 10 matches played in all competitions, Fiorentina have won 6 and lost 4. Defensive solidity has not been their strong point, having conceded in 8 of the last 10 matches but their attack has regularly scored, Having scored goals in 9 of the last 10 games. In 15 games, he never managed to get back on the scoring in the five games in which he conceded the first goal.
Like their opponent, Fiorentina come to this game with an away win over Chievo by 0-3: Cristian Tello, Babacar and Chiesa scored the winning goal. In this away game, coach Paulo Sousa should keep the team in 3-4-3 with Kalinic being responsible for tormenting his opponents’ defensive line: the Croatian is one of Fiorentina’s top scorers with 9 goals scored. It is important to note that visitors show some flaws in the most backward sector: in the last 10 games played, they suffered on average 1.5 goals per game. It seems that the visiting coach can count on the usual players at his disposal.
Prediction: Napoli Win @ 1.65