Read our prediction for Benfica vs Real Madrid below. This preview was written by a sport journalist who is specialised in betting tips and predictions.
Benfica vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting tips
Benfica and Real Madrid meet on Tuesday, 17 February 2026, at 22:00, at the Estádio da Luz, in the first leg of the UEFA Champions League round of 16 play-off. This double-header comes just a few weeks after the two teams met in the last round of the league phase, where Benfica pulled off a major upset by defeating “Los Blancos” 4-2.
Benfica:
Andreas Schjelderup and Vangelis Pavlidis were lethal in the previous duel, effectively exploiting Madrid’s flanks. Managed by José Mourinho, the Portuguese side brings confidence from recent results and will look to attack at home, exploiting set-pieces and counters. Benfica have shown both attacking threat and defensive vulnerabilities, scoring plenty but also conceding.
Real Madrid:
Real are experienced in big European fixtures and will aim to bounce back after that league-phase defeat. They boast one of Europe’s most potent attackers in Kylian Mbappé, a prolific goalscorer this season. Recent squad news indicates key figures are available, though check final lineups closer to kick-off. Real Madrid have shown defensive weaknesses this European season, conceding 12 goals in 8 league matches. Asencio’s suspension and Militao’s injury complicate the situation for Arbeloa.
Benfica vs Real Madrid head to head matches
28.01.26 CL Benfica vs Real Madrid 4:2
27.07.12 CF Benfica vs Real Madrid 5:2
* Our advice is: BTS / YES
* Selection odd for this bet is: 1.55
* This analyis is from our perspective and we highly recommend to inform also yourself about all details that can be decisive in your choise to bet!
