Read our prediction for Atl. Madrid vs Real Madrid below. This preview was written by a sport journalist who is specialised in betting tips and predictions.
Atl. Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting tips
The first Madrid Derby of the 2026/27 LaLiga season takes place on Sunday, September 20, 2026, as Atlético Madrid host Real Madrid at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 17:15 local time (venue timezone). Both teams enter the matchday in strong domestic form, looking to keep pace with league leaders Barcelona. Diego Simeone’s Atlético Madrid (3rd place, 13 points) bounced back strongly from early September losses by thrashing Real Sociedad (3-0) and Osasuna (4-0), scoring seven goals without conceding. They will lean heavily on their home advantage at the Metropolitano. José Mourinho’s Real Madrid (2nd place, 15 points) have won five of their opening six league fixtures. They enter the derby following a dramatic 3-2 victory over Elche, which was secured by a 90th-minute winner from young striker Carlos Espi.
Atl. Madrid:
Forward Julián Álvarez is officially ruled out due to a muscle strain. Midfielder Pablo Barrios remains sidelined. Striker Alexander Sørloth has returned to training but is a major doubt to start, meaning Jonathan David is expected to lead the attack.
Atl. Madrid (4-4-2): Jan Oblak – Llorente, Romero, Le Normand, Grimaldo – Lee Kang-in, Koke, Cardoso, Baena – Ademola Lookman, Jonathan David.
Real Madrid:
Mourinho is missing three primary first-team players, with defender Éder Militão, winger Rodrygo, and left-back Ferland Mendy all out injured. On a positive note, midfielder Jude Bellingham is fully fit and expected to return to the starting XI.
Real Madrid (4-2-3-1): Thibaut Courtois – Alexander-Arnold, Konate, Huijsen, Cucurella – Valverde, Tchouameni – Yan Diomande, Arda Güler, Vinícius Júnior – Kylian Mbappé.
Atl. Madrid vs Real Madrid head to head matches
08.01.2026 Atl. Madrid – Real Madrid 1:2
22.03.2026 Real Madrid – Atl. Madrid 3:2
27.09.2025 Atl. Madrid – Real Madrid 5:2
12.03.2025 Atl. Madrid – Real Madrid 1:1
04.03.2025 Real Madrid – Atl. Madrid 2:1
* Our advice is: BTS / YES
* Selection odd for this bet is: 1.45
* This analyis is from our perspective and we highly recommend to inform also yourself about all details that can be decisive in your choise to bet!
