Read our prediction for Germany vs Netherlands below. This preview was written by a sport journalist who is specialised in betting tips and predictions.
Germany vs Netherlands Prediction & Betting tips
Germany host the Netherlands at the Olympiastadion in Berlin on Monday, November 16, 2026, at 9:45 PM EET (20:45 CET) in the final round of the 2026–27 UEFA Nations League group stage. With one matchday remaining, the Netherlands have already clinched a quarter-final spot, while Germany and Greece are locked in a battle for the second qualification berth. A draw in Berlin is enough for Xavi Hernández’s side to guarantee first place in Group A2. Jürgen Klopp’s team trail Greece on head-to-head results (having lost 1–0 at home and drawn 0–0 away). To reach the quarter-finals, Germany must finish ahead of Greece on points—meaning they need a better result against the Netherlands than Greece achieve away against bottom-placed Serbia. Recent meetings between the rivals have been tightly contested, with three of their last five encounters ending in draws—including a 1–1 stalemate in Amsterdam on Matchday 1 in September 2026. Because the Netherlands have already secured top-two progression, Xavi may opt to rotate some starters in Berlin. Against Greece, Frenkie de Jong played 45 minutes before making way for Teun Koopmeiners, while Tijjani Reijnders was subbed off just past the hour mark. The Netherlands boast the group’s most prolific attack with 14 goals in five matches, led by in-form midfielders and wingers like Reijnders, Crysencio Summerville, and Donyell Malen. Germany rely on a more compact defensive structure, having conceded just three goals across their five group outings.
Germany:
Die Mannschaft kept their quarter-final hopes alive on November 13 with a 3–1 victory away to Serbia, controlling early possession and getting goals from Florian Wirtz and debutant Brajan Gruda.
Germany (4-2-3-1): Marc-André ter Stegen – Philipp Treu, Jonathan Tah, Nico Schlotterbeck, Nathaniel Brown – Joshua Kimmich, Aleksandar Pavlović (or Felix Nmecha) – Lennart Karl (or Brajan Gruda), Florian Wirtz, Derry Scherhant – Kai Havertz
Netherlands:
Netherlands’ momentum. Oranje enter the finale undefeated in the group following a dominant 7–0 home win over Greece on November 13, highlighted by a first-half hat-trick from Tijjani Reijnders and a brace from Jurriën Timber.
Netherlands (4-3-3): Bart Verbruggen – Denzel Dumfries, Jan Paul van Hecke, Micky van de Ven (or Virgil van Dijk), Jurriën Timber – Joey Veerman (or Frenkie de Jong), Quinten Timber (or Teun Koopmeiners), Tijjani Reijnders – Crysencio Summerville, Donyell Malen (or Brian Brobbey), Cody Gakpo
Germany vs Netherlands head to head matches
24.09.2026 Netherlands – Germany 1:1
14.10.2024 Germany – Netherlands 1:0
10.09.2024 Netherlands – Germany 2:2
26.03.2024 Germany – Netherlands 2:1
29.03.2022 Netherlands – Germany 1:1
* Our advice is: BTS / YES
* Selection odd for this bet is: 1.45
* This analyis is from our perspective and we highly recommend to inform also yourself about all details that can be decisive in your choise to bet!