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Arminia Bielefeld vs SG Dynamo Dresden Prediction & Betting tips
The players at Dynamo Dresden are definitely not to be envied these days and weeks. Next Monday, the Saxons, who were still in quarantine at the restart, will already be playing their sixth second division match in the past 16 days. As if this enormous amount of effort were not already challenging enough, the black and yellow struggle to stay in the second-highest German division.
The team of coach Markus Kauczinski still has four games to catch up three points behind the relegation place or five points on the saving bank. The Elbflorenzers will get their next chance on Monday evening when Bielefeld receives Dresden. The odds of the best bookmakers, however, imply a clear favorite role in favor of the front-runner.
Nobody currently doubts that East Westphalia will return to the Bundesliga, but on Monday evening Arminia does not yet have the possibility to fix everything mathematically. In the event of a win, it would still be at least eight points ahead of third place with three days remaining. The champagne bottles could already be chilled.
There is currently a whopping 30 points difference between the leaders and the bottom. The Arminia is also still unbeaten in the 2020 calendar year, while Dynamo lost three of the previous five matches after the restart and remained in as many games without their own goal. We therefore believe that between Bielefeld and Dresden the prognosis for another “zero” success of the favorite should be considered.
Bielefeld:
The Bielefelders are eager for the end of the season. This is not primarily due to the high stress of the past few weeks, but to the fact that East Westphalia is finally trying to put a catch behind the goal of “advancement”. For months there has only been speculation as to when the DSC can mathematically bag the return to the House of Lords. Strictly speaking, the Arminia can even thank the direct competition that the small diminution in shape will probably have no consequences at the moment.
After the restart, the front-runner celebrated one win in five attempts and had to settle for a draw in the remaining four games. As a result, the blues and blacks have been unbeaten twelve matches since December 21, but only half of all matches were won in this period.
Admittedly, it is about complaining at a high level, because while throughout the season in this balanced second league only twice loses (15 wins, 13 draws), also the second best offensive and by far the most stable defensive that has it definitely deserves to move up in the final bill.
In order to clear the last remaining doubts, the team of coach Uwe Neuhaus set the goal on Monday evening to win again at home for the first time since February 23. This top quota implies a probability of occurrence of 66%, but still does not include the maximum attractive value.
This is where a potential home win without conceding comes into play, of which there have been seven in this season. Overall, goalkeeper Stefan Ortega even kept the “clean slate” in eleven games, leading the 2nd Bundesliga in this category as well. We consider it quite realistic that the odds between Bielefeld and Dresden go for another “zero” success, especially since the qualitative difference between the teams cannot be denied.
In terms of personnel, the coaching duo Neuhaus / Nemec can draw on almost anything. Only Edmundsson, Müller and Quaschner have to pass due to injury. Compared to the 0: 0 of Friday at SV Sandhausen, where once again their own defense was able to convince, changes are still possible, especially with regard to the next home game, which will take place on Thursday evening against Darmstadt 98 and where the Arminia is on the local pasture could finally fix the ascent.
Dresden:
Those declared dead live longer! Dynamo Dresden would also like to use this saying in the final sprint this season. The starting position of the yellow and black on paper is far from hopeless. The relegation place is three points behind; In addition, the Saxons still have the catch-up game on Monday evening in their hands.
On closer inspection, however, it must be stated that the Elbflorenzers have to play at Arminia Bielefeld and must also score four points more than Wehen-Wiesbaden on the remaining match days, as their own goal difference (-21) is significantly worse than that of the current 16th of the classification (-14).
We therefore do not lean too far out of the window when we claim that the tail lights must score on Monday evening in order to continue to have realistic chances of staying in the league. However, this endeavor is likely to be difficult, because in the five matches after the restart, the East Germans have so far recorded a meager four points. The only win last week was the extremely flattering 3-2 in Wiesbaden.
On Friday evening, the Dresden team kept the 0-0 at home against Hamburger SV for a long time, only to concede the goal to 0-1 a few minutes before the final whistle. This once again made it clear that the offensive is currently particularly lacking. In three out of five games after the compulsory break, the yellow-blacks remained without their own hits.
Even the away record does not give much courage for a surprise coup on Monday evening. Dynamo won only two of the 14 matches abroad. On the other hand, there are four draws and eight bankruptcies (four of them zero). The twelve goals scored in opposing stadiums are only undercut by Erzgebirge Aue. In this respect, too, it makes perfect sense to risk a prediction of a “zero” victory for the favorite between Bielefeld and Dresden.
The high strain on the Kauczinski team, who is already playing their sixth competitive game in just 16 days on Monday, is slowly causing personnel problems. Brian Hamalainen, Dzenis Burnic, Ondrej Petrak, Justin Löwe and Godsway Donjoh will not be able to participate on the mountain pasture. The coach is expected to change his team significantly. Husbauer, Terrazzino, Atik, Wahlqvist or Jeremejeff are all options for the starting eleven.
Arminia Bielefeld vs SG Dynamo Dresden head to head matches
26.10.19 2BUN SG Dynamo Dresden Arminia Bielefeld 0 : 1
30.01.19 2BUN SG Dynamo Dresden Arminia Bielefeld 3 : 4
11.08.18 2BUN Arminia Bielefeld SG Dynamo Dresden 2 : 1
23.02.18 2BUN Arminia Bielefeld SG Dynamo Dresden 2 : 3
20.09.17 2BUN SG Dynamo Dresden Arminia Bielefeld 0 : 2