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Arouca and Estoril meet at the Municipal Stadium of Arouca in a match of the 17th round of the Liga Sagres. At this stage, the history of direct confrontations is favorable to the visiting team, which has 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 4 games. However, the last time they faced in this stadium was in 06-01-2016, in a game by Liga Sagres that finished with the victory of the Arouca by (1-0). The only goal of the match was scored by David Simão (20 ‘). In this match the home factor may play an important role, since Estoril presents significant differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.
Arouca
After 6 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses, the home team is in 10th place, having won 20 points. In the last match, he won the Tondela away for (1-2), after having lost at home in a game against Vitoria de Guimarães by (0-1). This is a team that maintains the income when it plays outside its stadium, because in the last 30 games it registers 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses as a visitor; Against 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in his stadium. In the last eight home games for the championship, Arouca has 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, having won 10 points out of 24 possible. In their domestic league games the most frequent marker in the break was 0-0 (4 out of 8 matches). The team conceded goals to their opponents in 7 of their last 10 games in this competition, so they have not been very strong defensively. In his home matches for this competition there is a tendency towards few goals, since in 7 of the last 8 that disputed there were less than 3 goals. In 16 games in the competition, he never managed to turn the board in the 10 games in which he suffered the first goal. There are 1 highlights in the last 13 home games in all competitions: he scored 4 of his 11 goals in the minutes (76’-90 ‘).
The Arouca team arrives at this game with a win in the field of Tondela, by 1-2, adding in this way the second consecutive victory in official games: the goals were scored by Walter González and Jorginho. In this game against Estoril coach Lito Vidigal should keep the team in 4-3-3 benefiting possession of the ball and organized attacks, especially through the right side: Jorginho is a very fast and strong player in this type of transition. Walter González is one of the best finals of the team Arouquense with 5 goals scored, however, is out of this game due to suspension. Besides this player, the coach can not count on Gegé, Karl and Sancidino, all injured.
Estoril
The visiting team is currently in 14th place with 15 points earned after 4 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, he lost out to the Chaves by (1-0). In the last match, lost at home to the Marítimo by (0-1). This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when played with the support of their fans, since in the last 30 games has 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses as a visitor, with a total of 13 goals scored and 19 conceded. Already inside the home, won 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with a total of 18 goals scored and 15 conceded. In the last eight away games, Estoril have won 2, 2 and 3 draws, having won 8 points out of 24. In his league games as a visitor, the most frequent result at half-time was 0-0 (4 out of 8 matches). The team allowed their opponents’ goals in 7 of the last 10 games for this competition, so they have not been very strong defensively. In their away games there is a tendency towards few goals, since 6 of their last 8 games by the competition finished with Less than 2.5 goals. This is a team that scored few times first and they only managed to open the scoring in 4 of their last 16 games in the Liga Sagres, of those 4 reached the break in lead in 3 and won in the late 90 ‘in all. In 16 games in this competition, he never managed to get back on the board in the 10 games in which he conceded the first goal.
The Estoril team are going through a difficult period of the season and currently have four straight defeats in the championship. In this round away from home, coach Pedro Gómez Carmona should act in the usual 4-3-3 being Tocantis the man responsible for tormenting the defensive line of the opponent. However, the great highlight of Estoril is the offensive left Matheus Indian with 3 goals and 1 assist. It seems that the coach can not rely on Mano and Kléber, players who recover from injury.
Prediction: under 2.5 goals @ 1.60