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Arsenal vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting tips
The final of the 32nd Premier League matchday will be the Monday Night Football Game in North London. The Arsenal Football Club (Table 4, 60 points) expects at home Emirates Stadium Newcastle United (Table position 13, 35 points). The Gunners are currently running a four-match with Tottenham, Man United and Chelsea for the two Champions League places three and four. Although the Gunners have the European League another hot iron in the fire and could win the competition, the Champions League participation over the back door. However, it is easier to go the traditional way across the league.
While Gunner’s last Premier League game was three weeks back, Newcastle United was in action before the international break and was able to clinch an important point in the relegation battle at Bournemouth. Currently, the Magpies’ lead on a relegation rank is seven points. Cause of the good starting position were the last strong results at home. If Newcastle has to play on Mondays, then it’s always away. This Monday it’s the 15th Premier League Monday away game in a row. However, of the 14 previous ones, the Magpies only managed to win two (2-1-11). Once again, Rafa Benitez’s troupe is not a favorite, as Bookmakers’ odds between Arsenal and Newcastle prove. If Arsenal vs. Newcastle is our predictor, then a tip on Arsenal (1/1) is a success.
The landmark 2-0 Premier League home win over Manchester United was followed by further progress in the Europa League when the Gunners were still able to make a 1-3 from the first leg. Although both results are now three weeks back, they nevertheless provided for a lot of self-confidence in the Gunners. In particular, the victory over the Red Devils, with which the Champions League rank could be defended. Unlike in the preseason scores Arsenal under Neutrainer Unai Emery in the direct duels against the “top six teams”. In ten games this season Arsenal scored twelve points, twice as many as last year under coach legend Arsene Wenger. Especially the home strength is the great trump of the Gunners, who could win the last nine Premier League powers at home. Accordingly, Arsenal vs. Newcastle is, according to our forecast, the favorite for a win. The last time a long winning streak in their own stadium had Arsenal in the season 1997/98 (ten wins in a row). Arsenal won all six home games in calendar year 2019, making it only one of three out of the 92 clubs in the four English professional league team that could do it. The other two are Manchester City and Sheffield United (Championship).
Overall, the Gunners have been unbeaten at home in 15 Premier League games (13-2-0). A decisive factor in the home games is Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang. In the recent nine Premier League games at Emirates Stadium Aubameyang was directly involved in eleven goals (eight goals, three assists). In his previous 23 league home games for Arsenal, he comes to 24 goals (18 goals, six assists). In the Premier League scorers list at the moment, only Sergio Agüero is more accurate than the Gabonese with his 17 goals. Storm colleague Alexandre Lacazette scored 73 percent of his Premier League goals at home (19 out of 26). Of the 42 Arsenal players who scored at least ten Premier League goals, only Gunners legend Tony Adams comes at a higher percentage than the Frenchman (83 percent). Aubameyang and Lacazette are two powerful arguments to tip Arsenal against Newcastle at (1/1). Mesut Özil played four goals in his last four league games against Newcastle (three goals, one assist). Lucas Torreira is suspended, Rob Holding, Danny Welbeck and Hector Bellerin are injured.
Although the Magpies are supported by the “Toon Army” in their travels through football England, there are still few things to celebrate. Before the international break, the last-minute goal by Matt Ritchie at least once again made for a point win in the foreign. This Newcastle could last three of a possible 21 away counters retract (0-3-4). However, the Magpies lost only two of the past nine Premier League games (5-2-2), having previously lost three games in four games (one draw). This strong series is made possible especially by the recent performances in the home St. James’ Park. Newcastle scored five home wins in a row and was able to get some air in the relegation battle. Currently, there are many who say that Rafa Benitez keeps the Magpies in the league for the second year after promotion. Despite the current positive trend, Arsenal vs. Newcastle is the first contender for three points according to odds.
The performances in the English capital continue to have a lot of potential upwards. Of the last 23 Premier League away games in London, Newcastle lost 17 (3-3-17). Most recently, the Magpies were without victory six times in a row on the Thames (0-2-4). Also, the personal record of Rafa Benitez does not look much better when it comes to the Gunners in the capital. The Spaniard took only two points from his past seven Premier League games against Arsenal (0-2-5). Will Newcastle take something countable back to the English Northeast, the team needs another strong performance from Salomon Rondon. The Venezuelan was involved in 14 Premier League matches this season (ten goals, five assists). Fabian Schär is missing because of a yellow-barrier, Sean Longstaff is injured like Rob Elliot.
Arsenal vs Newcastle head to head matches
15.09.18 PL Newcastle Arsenal 1 : 2
15.04.18 PL Newcastle Arsenal 2 : 1
16.12.17 PL Arsenal Newcastle 1 : 0
02.01.16 PL Arsenal Newcastle 1 : 0
29.08.15 PL Newcastle Arsenal 0 : 1