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Brentford vs Fulham Prediction & Betting tips
Last weekend, the Gunners secured their last Europa League ticket in English football with a derby victory in the FA Cup final. The last participant for the upcoming Premier League season 2020/21 will be determined on Tuesday evening. The Championship Playoff Final traditionally takes place at Wembley, with Brentford and Fulham facing each other on Tuesday at 19:45 p.m.
The promotion to the Premier League is not only a huge success in terms of sport, but due to the lush TV contract, the two teams are facing additional revenue of around EUR 200 million. But it is not the sporting and financial aspect that gives the game explosiveness, but also the geographical proximity. Brentford and Fulham are both in west London, the distance between the two boroughs is just under six miles.
Within a few days, head coach Thomas Frank’s Bees threatened to frivolously gamble away an outstanding season. The direct promotion to the Premier League was missed in the last two league games, both against Stoke City and against Barnsley Brentford suffered two bitter defeats, one win would have been enough to secure the first Premier League ticket.
But not only the last two games in the regular season were lost, Brentford also suffered a defeat in the first leg against Swansea in the semi-finals of the play-offs. The dream of returning to the English football upper house (most recently in 1947) seemed to finally burst. Thanks to a furious start in the second leg, the course was set early for the final game at Wembley Stadium.
Once again, the outstanding offensive (with 80 goals the best attack department in the championship) made the difference. Just in time for moving into the new Brentford Community Stadium (after 116 years in Griffin Park), the promotion to the Premier League could now be a success.
The success of bees – as Brentford’s nickname is – has its origins in statistics. Club owner Matthew Benham was formerly Vice President of Bank of America and then earned millions in betting with his analytical and mathematical system. Not only in England, but also with the Danish champions Midtjylland, he is the strong man.
Based on the film “Moneyball”, the players are committed according to their statistics. An unusual system in football that has been practiced in baseball for decades.
Before the final, the statistics definitely speak for Brentford. Better offensive (80:64 goals), better defense (38:48 goals conceded), more wins (24:23) and above all an outstanding offensive trio with Watkins (25 goals), Benrahma (17 goals) and Mbeumo (15 goals). Based on these figures, a forecast in the direction of the “Bees” is an obvious option between Brentford and Fulham.
After a relegation from the Premier League, the club still receives high income from the TV contract in the following years, but it can always be seen that the clubs are extremely difficult in the tough championship. It is not uncommon to see that a team from the Premier League is ranked in League One.
However, the people in charge of the Cottagers managed to keep a large part of the team together and the Scott Parker team oriented towards the upper midfield early on. Fulham has been on a play-off course since matchday 17, and the direct climb to fourth place in the championship table was ultimately missed by two points.
15 of the 23 wins of the season were celebrated in Fulham’s home at Craven Cottage, while abroad there were far too many points (ten). The play-off semi-final provided another picture. In the relegation duel with Cardiff City, Fulham celebrated a 2-0 away win and was therefore able to afford a 1-2 home defeat and continue to dream of a direct return to the Premier League.
While the Bees can draw from the full in the million-dollar game, Fulham again threatens to have to do without the most important player. Serbian team player Aleksandr Mitrovic became top scorer of the championship with 26 goals, but missed the two play-off games due to an ankle injury.
Scott Parker was cautiously optimistic about a Tuesday night assignment. However, it is also possible that Mitrovic as a joker makes the difference in the final phase. In any case, his retirement would be a bitter setback that would make a bet on the Cottagers between Brentford and Fulham not recommendable.
Brentford vs Fulham head to head matches
20.06.20 CHA Fulham Brentford 0 : 2
14.12.19 CHA Brentford Fulham 1 : 0
14.04.18 CHA Fulham Brentford 1 : 1
02.12.17 CHA Brentford Fulham 3 : 1
29.04.17 CHA Fulham Brentford 1 : 1