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Chelsea and Brentford measure their strength in a FA Cup match (Round 4). There has been only 1 direct showdown in the last 3 years between these two teams, on 02-17-13, which ended Chelsea’s (4-0) win. In this match the home factor may play a significant role, as Brentford has significant differences in results achieved both at home and as a visitor.
Chelsea
The home team arrives at this stage of the FA Cup (Round 4) after having eliminated Peterborough United after a 4-1 home win on the previous tie. This is a team that maintains the income when it plays outside its stadium, because in the last 30 games it registers 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses as a visitor; Against 13 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in his stadium. In the last game he played for the Barclays Premier League, he beat Hull City at home (2-0). In the last 10 home games Chelsea have 9 wins and 1 loss. His attack has scored regularly, as he has achieved in 9 of the last 10 games. In 15 games, he suffered the first goal 4 times but managed to turn the score in 2.
Chelsea reach this game with a 2-0 win at home to Hull City, with their second successive win in the English league: Diego Costa and Cahill scored the team’s goals. In this home game, coach Antonio Conte should keep the team 3-4-3 with Michy Batshuayi being the most offensive reference: the Belgian should take the position that is taken by top scorer Diego Costa. Looking at the last 10 games it is possible to notice that the home team scored on average 2.2 goals and suffered an average of 0.6 goals per game, that is, it shows great quality in both sectors. It seems that the Italian coach can count on all the players at his disposal.
Brentford
The visiting team arrives at this stage of the FA Cup (Round 4) after having eliminated Eastleigh, with a (5-1) home win on the previous tie. This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when played with the support of their fans, since in the last 30 games has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses as a visitor, with a total of 15 goals scored and 22 suffered. Already inside the home, he won 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses, with a total of 24 goals scored and 15 conceded. In the last game that disputed, for the Championship, lost with the Wigan out by (2-1). In the last 10 games as a visitor Brentford won 3, drew 1 and lost 6. The team allowed their opponents goals in 8 of the last 10 games, so their defense needs to improve, but their attack has been regularly marked as they managed to achieve In the last 10 matches. In 15 games, he only managed 1 turn on the scoreboard in the 9 games in which he conceded the first goal.
The Brentford side are coming into this round with a 2-1 defeat at Wigan by recording their second consecutive defeat in official matches: the goal was scored by Jota Peleteiro. In this round away from home, treiandor Dean Smith should line up in 3-5-2 privileging the setback and the balls direct to the attack. Scott Hogan is Brentford’s top scorer with 14 goals scored. It is important to note that the visitors currently compete in the English second division. For this game the coach can not count on Judge, Elder and Henry, all injured.
Prediction: over 2.5 goals @ 1.50