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Dortmund vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting tips
As coach of Borussia Mönchengladbach Lucien Favre once remained unbeaten 13 league games in a row. The Swiss would like to set this personal record with Borussia Dortmund next weekend. After twelve games, BVB are in first place with nine wins and three draws and are four points clear of the “foals”. Bayern Munich is currently even nine points behind the frontrunner, which is why we are not really surprised that Germany is already spoken about the black and yellow as a possible new German champion. However, Westphalian leaders continue to practice understatement and think from game to game. On Saturday afternoon, the compulsory task against SC Freiburg is to be successfully resolved in front of a home crowd, so that after the disappointing appearance in the UEFA Champions League, there will be no fuss whatsoever.
That Dortmund against Freiburg according to the quotas is traded as a big favorite, is no surprise. Since 2010, Borussia has not lost to the Sport Club. In the so far only victory of the Breisgauer in the Westfalenstadion 17 years ago, today’s BVB official Sebastian Kehl was even one of the scorers in the Black Forest. The Favre-Elf should not underestimate the guest of the Dreisam, however, because after all, the SCF already fought at Bayern (1: 1) a draw. The team of Christian Streich has nothing to lose and has set the goal to avoid the second failure of the then past seven games. Nevertheless, we make the prognosis between Dortmund and Freiburg that BVB will not be naked in front of their own fans and make a confident trip three-way. However, we do not tend to win the game because we expect the sport club to be tactically very disciplined and defensive. It could therefore become a game of patience for the league leaders. This assumption is the main reason why we are in direct duel against Dortmund. Freiburg have decided for the combined tip that Dortmund leaves the place as a winner, however, a maximum of three goals in this encounter fall. The kick-off at Signal Iduna Park is scheduled for the best time on Saturday afternoon at 14:30.
Dortmund:
An unusually unspectacular game experienced the audience on Wednesday evening in the largest football temple in Germany. Against very clever and defensive Belgians from Bruges, Borussia did not find the solution they wanted in the fifth round of the UEFA Champions League group stage and had to settle for a goalless draw. Although the point win was enough to solve the ticket for the knockout stages ahead of schedule, the fans would certainly have hoped for a glittering home win. The fact that the black and yellow did so hard, came as something of a surprise, although the phase of admirable offensive football, which the Westphalia temporarily showed, at the moment seems to take a little break. If we exclude the 3-2 home win of the leaders in the Bundesliga against FC Bayern Munich once, then the recent successes of the Dortmund were more likely to be classified under the category “work victories”. In the 2: 1 triumph in Mainz a week ago, the hurray style was just as missed as in the 1-0 before the international break in Wolfsburg. If these tight threes in the recent past could be considered primarily with the explanation that they were driven in abroad, the end of the “temporary intoxication” at the latest since the Bruges match also arrived at Signal Iduna Park. Still, the balance of the Ballspielverein reads in front of its own fans with five wins in six Bundesliga games (a draw) quite outstanding, but at home against SC Freiburg, we expect another test of patience. The outstanding number of 23 goals in six home games and the fact that in none of these clashes fell less than four hits, that leads between Dortmund and Freiburg, the odds on our tip, victory Dortmund & under 3.5 goals’ in the air have jumped. An exciting value is definitely recognizable for that very reason.
Since 14 Bundesliga duels BVB is unbeaten against Freiburg. After twelve consecutive wins in a row, the clubs split twice in the past season twice the points. Again, we trust the home side in any case to a home win, but at the same time assume that this is not high, especially since the Freiburg will act very defensive.
As a small ulterior motive one should have in mind that the Borussia has only intensive 90 minutes in the premier class on Wednesday evening and the preparation and the regeneration phase to the Bundesliga match accordingly shorter turns out. After the previous four matches in the UEFA Champions League, the black and yellow were each difficult. Against Hoffenheim (1: 1) and Hertha (2: 2) it was only enough for a draw; against FC Augsburg (4: 3) and Bayern (3: 2) jumped out only victories with a hit difference.
The offensive hopes rest on Saturday once again on captain Marco Reus, who was previously involved in 13 goals of his team. In the internal scorer list, the national player is still behind Paco Alcacer, who comes up with nine goals (eight of them as a joker). It is quite possible that Lucien Favre will bring the Spaniard back from the bench again on the weekend and Mario Götze will slip into the starting lineup instead. Jadon Sancho, Julian Weigl, Jacob Bruun Larsen or Ashraf Hakimi are other candidates for whom we can imagine a mission right from the start. Marcel Schmelzer and Marius Wolf will definitely be missing. Axel Witsel was beaten off against Bruges. His participation is questionable.
Freiburg:
Christian Streich would probably have chosen another opponent for his 200th Bundesliga game as coach of the SC Freiburg, because against Borussia Dortmund there was not much to fetch for sympathetic cult coach in recent years. In a total of eleven matches with BVB, Streich only scored two points. In addition, his personal highest defeat in the upper house resulted from a clash against the Westphalia. In September 2013, the sports club lost in the Signal Iduna Park namely 0: 5. However, as we know the eccentric man with a world view, it is precisely this lousy record that will lead to his team being very motivated to prepare for this match over the weekend. Recently, the Breisgauer presented themselves in a good shape. In the recent six matchdays, the South Germans lost only the home game against Mainz (1: 3), but otherwise remained unbeaten and that, although the relegation candidate to ambitious opponents such as Bayern (1: 1), Borussia Mönchengladbach (3: 1) or last weekend met Werder Bremen (1-1). With 14 points, the men of the Dreisam are fully on target and have at least five points ahead of the first relegation place. Although this distance is far from a comfortable resting cushion, but the runners are so strong Black forests currently do not give the impression, as if they had to quit the relegation to the end. For this reason, in our eyes between Dortmund and Freiburg, the odds in favor of the home side, especially in terms of a potential runaway victory, definitely too low.
That the sports club is hard to beat, also shows the fact that no other Bundesliga club drew more than the strike team (five). In view of the three wins and the five division of points Freiburg lost only one third of all games, but only once with more than two goals difference. We are convinced that the Breisgauer will focus their primary focus on the defensive on Saturday. If possible, the zero should be held at the back for a long time, in order to possibly make pinholes in the switching game.
How difficult it is to crack the compact and well-organized defense of the South Germans, is clear when we look at the past six matches. Only at home against Mainz (1: 3) conceded SC-keeper Alexander Schwolow more than one goal. In three out of the last five outings, the goalkeeper had to reach exactly once. So that our tip in the context of the 13th matchday rises, all home wins of BVB without conceding up to and including to 3: 0 included in the consideration. If the guests score a goal, as recently in only four of the youngest eight guest appearances in Dortmund, the black and yellow are allowed to wet a maximum of twice.
Due to injury, the table half has to do without Lukas Kübler, Amir Abrashi, Caleb Stanko and Brandon Borello, for whom an assignment should come too soon after a long injury. Nicolas Höfler, Florian Kath and Rolland Sallai have recently suffered injuries and are also not operational. Like last time against Bremen, Streich will probably stay in the 3-4-3 system, which will be 5-3-2 against the ball. Nils Petersen is likely to return to the top. Lucas Höler, Maik Frantz and Philipp Lienhart are other alternatives for the starting eleven.
Dortmund vs Freiburg head to head matches
27.01.18 BUN Dortmund Freiburg 2 : 2
09.09.17 BUN Freiburg Dortmund 0 : 0
25.02.17 BUN Freiburg Dortmund 0 : 3
23.09.16 BUN Dortmund Freiburg 3 : 1
07.02.15 BUN Freiburg Dortmund 0 : 3