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FC Porto vs Krasnodar Prediction & Betting tips
A Champions League group stage without FC Porto? Somehow unthinkable! In the 2010/2011 season missed the 28-time Portuguese champions last ticket for the premier class. It was followed by eight consecutive participations, in which the “Dragões” made at least five times at least the entry into the knockout round.
It is fair to say that the Blue-and-Whites are part and parcel of the most important European club competition and that it would be quite a surprise if the winner of 2004 did not qualify this time.
Before the decisive playoff games are scheduled for the next two weeks, however, Porto will have to do justice to the favorites role in the third round return match implicitly in the third round draw against Krasnodar.
The starting position for the team of coach Sergio Concecaio is quite comfortable, as the first leg in the previous week in Russia could be designed with 1: 0 victorious. The previous year third of Premjer League needs in the south therefore a Sahnetag to make the sensation still perfect.
The outsider may benefit from the Portuguese condemning Gil Vicente to a sober 1: 2 defeat at the weekend and presenting themselves in a very bad early form in that match. Not least because of this, we would not venture a bet on the outcome of the match between Porto and Krasnodar, but instead pay more attention to alternative markets.
Porto:
The Futebol Clube do Porto is facing a difficult season, so at least the opinion of many experts, which is based specifically on the change of personnel. With Eder Militao, Felipe, Oliver Torres, Yacine Brahimi or Ander Herrera several key players left the club and left a big gap.
This should primarily be closed by actors who are largely unknown in Europe. As in the last few years, when the Blue-Whites made a name for themselves as a training camp for young players from South America, the sporty leadership decided to renounce well-known obligations.
Nakajima (Al Duhail), Diaz (junior FC), Saravia (Racing Club), Uribe or Augustin Marchesin (both CF America) should instead follow in the footsteps of the former top performers. That just at the beginning of the season, the newly formed team must first find, was at the weekend in the league opener against underdog Gil Vicente clearly.
Against the club, which is only first-rate represented again this season, lost the home-high favorite surprisingly with 1: 2 and was not allowed to complain afterwards about the result. Over the 90 minutes, the former Champions League winner made fewer shots on goal and thus bagged the total false start. This sobering result at the beginning can now bring about positive or negative consequences.
Either coach Sergio Concecaio demands reparation from his team and gets it in the form of a sovereign home victory in the premier-class qualification or uncertainty sets in and the blue-and-white must seriously fear for entry into the playoffs. Due to the resulting uncertainty, we would not dare to predict the success of the “dragons” between Porto and Krasnodar.
Perhaps it was on Saturday but also a slip-up, because a week ago in a 1-0 win in Russia, the Portuguese made a solid appearance, which was rewarded with the last-minute winner of Sergio Oliveira (89). Despite the significance of the second leg, we believe it is likely that more goals will be scored after the break.
Depending on the status quo, one of the two teams sooner or later has to abandon the basic order and take more risks. Consequently, in the match Porto offers. Krasnodar a tip on more hits from minute 46 in comparison to the first round definitely on. Interesting: In four of the recent five European Cup home games with FCP stake would go through a corresponding bet.
In general, the Concecaio-Elf is of course much more appealing in front of a home crowd than in a foreign country. In the preseason lost the kicker from the port wine capital in the premier class, for example, only one of five home games (four successes) and against the eventual champions from Liverpool. In the league, the record was: 15 victories from 17 matches (two defeats) in the Estádio do Dragão.
Diogo Costa and Mamadou Loum are not available on Tuesday night in the important second leg. It is quite possible that the coach, as in the first leg, relies on many experienced players and few newcomers in the starting line-up to minimize the risk of a negative surprise.
Krasnodar:
For the first time, FK Krasnodar is in the UEFA Champions League. Thanks to the green-blacks this third place from the past Premjer league season in which the team from the south of the country, among others, CSKA Moscow or Spartak Moscow could leave behind.
Nonetheless, those responsible were annoyed with the best placement of their club history to date. The reason for this was the fact that Lok Moscow in second place got as many points as you and won the runner-up only because of the direct comparison. Especially fatal: Second, Futbolny Krasnodar, founded in 2008, would have fixed the automatic ticket for the group stage.
Now the protégés of coach Murad Musaev have to work out the starting right for the main competition only after the tedious qualification. However, the odds have been anything but good since last week, as the first leg in front of their own fans has not lost the Russians undeservedly, but unfortunately with 0: 1.
As a result, the well-funded club, whose biggest European success so far has been reaching the knockout round of the Europa League, needs a small miracle in Portugal to move into the playoffs, where either Olympiakos Piraeus or Istanbul Basaksehir would wait as opponents. At least the Eastern Europeans can be sure that they will be represented internationally in 2019/2020, because the loser of the pairing Porto vs. Krasnodar must definitely be involved in the EL group phase.
By the way, we would not completely copy the last year’s third, because the Musaev-Elf has a lot to offer in terms of quality. Only in the summer were committed for nearly 30 million euros new players, including Remy Cabella (St. Etienne), Tony Vilhena (Feyenoord Rotterdam) and especially Markus Berg (Al Ain FC) and players who knew how to convince already at this level ,
The form also seems to fit, as after an unnecessary defeat to Premjer League opener in mid-July against Akhmat Grozny (0: 1) Krasnodar last ten points from four games. In the classification, the green-blacks are in third place and can register the start under the category “succeeded”.
Let’s face Porto vs. Porto. Krasnodar a forecast for the game, then we expect despite the mortgage from the first leg waiting Russians. The outsider will not put pressure on the Portuguese right from the start and may then fall behind after just a few minutes and continue to worsen their starting position.
Much more is to be expected that the kicker from the big city as long as possible to keep zero, and then – if necessary, even in the second half – to land the Lucky Punch. Should not be hit in the first 45 minutes, Marcus Berg and Co. would inevitably take more risk after the break.
Whether a potential defeat finally with 0: 1 or 0: 3 precipitates, plays no role due to the European Cup arithmetic anyway. For this reason, the odds of a second goal in the second half of the season between Porto and Krasnodar are quite promising. With Gazinskiy and Claesson, however, two key players are injured due to injury.
FC Porto vs Krasnodar head to head matches
07.08.19 CL Krasnodar FC Porto 0 : 1