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Holstein Kiel vs SG Dynamo Dresden Prediction & Betting tips
Dynamo Dresden is about to be relegated to the 3rd division. In three games remaining, the yellow-blacks are five points behind Karlsruher SC, who can even show at SSV Jahn Regensburg on Wednesday. Markus Kauczinski’s team will probably only help the maximum yield of nine points in order to have any hopes for the relegation place.
At best, the Saxons want to celebrate the first of three successes needed on Thursday evening. Before the duel Kiel vs. Dresden, however, clearly beat the odds of the tested bookmakers in the direction of the home side, for whom with a current six-point advantage over 16th place in terms of relegation nothing should really burn.
We are surprised that the probability of a Holstein success on Thursday evening is only estimated at 56%, in that the guests leave the Elbe on their gums and did not give the impression at the 0: 4 in Bielefeld, again the second breath to get. Since it is the seventh competitive game for the SGD in less than three weeks, we lean against the Kiel vs. Dresden prediction of the home win certainly not too far out the window.
Despite the understandable favorite role of the storks, it should be noted that the blue, white and red could only make one of the past nine matches in league two victorious. To make matters worse, KSV Holstein will have to do without coach Ole Werner on the remaining match days, who will be missing for private reasons. However, our Kiel against Dresden tip on the table eleven does not change.
There are currently many indications that the Kiel team will reach their weakest position to date in the third year of the second division after their promotion. After third place as a newcomer including the narrow failure in the Bundesliga relegation against VfL Wolfsburg and sixth place in the past season, the storks are currently only in eleven position.
The biggest construction site where KSV Holstein has to start during the short summer break is surely the lack of constancy. Occasionally, the blue-white-red presented themselves as an absolute top team that can compete with all other clubs from the upper third of the table. In the same breath, however, sensitive bankruptcies against potential relegation candidates must be mentioned, such as the disappointing 1: 2 weekend at home against SV Wehen-Wiesbaden.
This defeat against the penultimate of the ranking, in which Hauke Wahl even put the home side 1-0 in the lead, is also one of the reasons why the bookmakers had a harder time distributing the odds before the Kiel duel against Dresden thought. Although the North Germans are still clearly favored, we would have expected an even lower top rate for the KSV after the recent guest appearances.
Admittedly, the storks didn’t spill glory after the restart. Only one of the six games after the forced break was won. In contrast, there are three losses and two division of points. If you take the results into consideration before the interruption, Holstein even managed only a threesome from the past nine second division matches. With four wins, five draws and six bankruptcies in 15 matches, the home record is anything but outstanding.
Despite the below-average results from the last third of the season, the kickers from the Börde have enough quality to put Dynamo in its place. The fact that the hosts want to make reparations after the defeat against SVWW could also have a positive effect. And who knows, maybe the temporary change of coach from Ole Werner to his assistants will again give new impulses in the final sprint.
For personal reasons, the 32-year-old coach will no longer act as head coach for KSV until the end of the season and will instead pass on the baton to his assistant coaches Fabian Boll and Patrick Kohlmann. The two ex-professionals have hardly any losses. Only Michael Eberwein, Janni Serra and the third keeper Timon Weiner will be missing in the penultimate home game of the season.
Probably only the boldest optimists still believe in Dresden’s relegation. If the yellow-blacks had realistic hopes of staying in Germany’s second-highest division two weeks after the “big point” at SV Wehen Wiesbaden (3-2), their starting position has categorically worsened in the past three matches.
From the games at home against Fürth, at home against Hamburger SV and on Monday with Arminia Bielefeld, the Kauczinski team scored only one point and thus definitely not enough to move closer to or even pull past the competition. Under certain circumstances, the relegation to the third division could already be sealed in the course of this English week.
If Karlsruher SC won on Wednesday in Regensburg and Dynamo Dresden did not have a threesome a day later in Kiel, the Saxons could not be saved. It is likely that the yellow-blacks will only help three wins to avert the super meltdown. In view of the recent performances, this undertaking seems almost utopian.
Coach Markus Kauczinski’s team lost four of the six games after the restart. In all four cases, Simon Makienok and Co. were unable to score their own. The SGD scored only in the very flattering success in Wiesbaden (3-2) and in the 1-1 home win against Fürth. Nine of the 15 guest appearances were lost over the entire season. No team conceded more goals than the bottom in the foreign country. In total there were 32, more than two per lot.
To make matters worse, the East Germans consider that they were only on the pitch on Monday and thus had two days less time than KSV Holstein to prepare for the upcoming match. In general, it is the seventh competitive game within 19 days for the former GDR champion, who crawls completely on the gums and, because of this competitive disadvantage alone, has to be treated as a gross outsider on Thursday evening.
Even if the extremely high load of the past week has not yet had an exponential effect on the hospital, coach Kauczinski, who actually has to play for victory in Kiel and will therefore have plenty of room for the counterattack, will have to deal with Justin Löwe, Godsway Donjoh and Dzenis Burnic dispense. Compared to the 0: 4 on Monday in Bielefeld, there will probably be some changes again. Ebert, Leo, Kreuzer or the likely recovered Makienok are potential options for the starting eleven.
Holstein Kiel vs SG Dynamo Dresden head to head matches
30.11.19 2BUN SG Dynamo Dresden Holstein Kiel 1 : 2
12.05.19 2BUN Holstein Kiel SG Dynamo Dresden 3 : 0
09.12.18 2BUN SG Dynamo Dresden Holstein Kiel 0 : 2
14.04.18 2BUN SG Dynamo Dresden Holstein Kiel 0 : 4
05.11.17 2BUN Holstein Kiel SG Dynamo Dresden 3 : 0