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Lille and Caen play at the Pierre-Mauroy Stade in a 15th round match of Ligue 1. At this stage, the history of direct confrontations is favorable to the home team, which has 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 games. In fact, the last time they faced in this stage was in 03-02-2016, in a game for the Ligue 1 that finished with the victory of Lille by (1-0). The only goal of the match was scored by A. Soumaoro (59 ‘). Although this is a game between the 19th and 15th of the overall standings, it’s actually a game between the home-ranked and the 20th-place home games.
Lille
After 3 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses, the home team is in 19th place, having won 11 points. In the last match, they drew with Nantes away by (0-0), after having lost at home in a game against Lyon, by (0-1). This is a team that normally achieves more positive results as a visitor than at home, having won 2 away points, scoring 4 goals and suffering 10 and points in their stadium with 6 goals scored and 9 conceded. In the last 7 home games for the championship, Lille have recorded 3 wins and 4 losses, having won 9 points out of 21. Defensive solidity has not been his strong point, having conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 games in this competition. In his home matches there is a tendency to few goals, since 14 of his last 25 matches ended with Less than 1.5 goals. In 14 games in the competition, never managed to turn the score in the 9 games in which he suffered the first goal. There are 2 periods in the last 11 home games in all competitions: he scored 3 of his 7 goals in the minutes (46’-60 ‘); Suffered 4 of his 10 goals between the minutes (0’-15 ‘).
The home team usually plays on a tactical system in 4-3-3, favoring a more offensive style of play, attacking through the sidelines. Lille is a team that opts to use a game style with possession of the ball, advancing in the field through short passes, and usually uses the field to invest in the offensive process. It is worth mentioning that the three most advanced men are Rony Lopes, Eder and Préville. For this game the coach of the house will not be able to count on Mavuba and Bauthéac because they are injured.
Caen
After 4 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses, the visiting team is in 15th place, having won 14 points. In the last match, they drew 1-1 with Guingamp at home (1-0) after their previous match had lost out in a game against Olympique de Marseille. This is a team affected by the home factor, having won 1 point as a visitor and 13 points in their stadium, with 8 goals scored and 11 goals conceded at home, against 3 goals scored and 12 conceded. In the championship, the Caen won 1 point in 21 possible, after 1 tie and 6 losses in the last 7 games that played as a visitor.
For this competition, you have not won any of the last 7 games outside of your stadium. The team allowed their opponents’ goals in 7 of the last 10 games for this competition, so they have not been very strong defensively. In 14 games in this competition, he suffered the first goal 9 times and only got 1 turn on the scoreboard. In the last 9 away games for all competitions there has been 1 period that stands out: suffered 6 of his 16 goals between the minutes (0′-15 ‘).
The visiting team may play in the same tactical design of their opponent, and should adopt a more defensive posture, with the aim of trying as much as possible to score a goal caused by tactical errors. Thus, a draw in this round can not be considered a bad result. The most offensive reference of the Caen is the Croatian Ivan Santini, expert in the aerial game. The visiting coach will not be able to count on Dabo and Louis for being injured. It is worth mentioning that benino Emmanuel Imorou will also be out for being suspended.
Prediction: Lille Win @ 1.81