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Monaco vs Paris SG Prediction & Betting tips
For the first time after the lost DFB Cup final at the end of May 2017, Niko Kovac will get the chance to return the favor to Thomas Tuchel next Friday. If the two coaches were still in the service of Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Dortmund at the time, they will now meet again in the French Ligue 1.
The eleventh matchday will open there on Friday evening with the match between Rennes and Bordeaux at 20:00 p.m. Then the top match between Monaco and PSG will take place in the Stade Louis II. According to the quotas, the guests from Paris are of course the big favorites in the game.
Of course, the most recent form at national level speaks for a success of the Tuchel-Elf. After two defeats at the start, Paris St. Germain dominated the action in Ligue 1 again at will and celebrated eight wins in a row. During this period, the industry leader only conceded a single goal, but retained the upper hand in seven cases with at least two hits.
In this respect, there is virtually no alternative to give a prediction on the top three between Monaco and PSG. Although the Monegasque recently showed an ascending form curve, Niko Kovac’s protégés have not left the impression that they can already stand up to the star ensemble from the capital over the entire season so far.
Monaco :
Having started with the aim of leading AS Monaco back to the top of the national league, coach Niko Kovac, who took office at the Monegasque in the summer, can only be partially satisfied with the season so far. In particular, the phase between the fourth and eighth matchday must be assessed very critically, as the red-whites only recorded four points from five games during this period and thus lost the connection to front-runner Paris St. Germain.
Just in time for the direct duel against the French figurehead, the protégés from the principality seem to have found their way back on the road to success. Before the international break, Monaco prevailed 4-0 at home against Bordeaux and 2-1 in Nice and moved up to sixth place in the Ligue 1 table. The gap to second place is only two points.
The fact that the Kovac team has hope on Friday of being able to annoy the overpowering Parisians is primarily due to the good home record of the former Champions League finalists. In the Stade Louis II, the ninth from the previous year is still unbeaten after five matches. Almost more impressive than the three successes (two draws) are the twelve goals already scored, which indicate a certain degree of offensive quality.
In view of the decent yield in their own stadium, the returned form and the fact that the Monegasque may take the match a little more seriously compared to the guests in terms of a lack of double burden in the European Cup, we would go from a tip to a clear success at Monaco against PSG the favorite.
Nevertheless, it is too risky for us to force a bet on a point win for the home side, especially since the red-whites have so far failed to prove that they can compete against top teams. Quite the opposite: against Olympique Lyon, “Les Rouges et blanc” suffered a violent 4-1 defeat, which revealed defensive flaws and a lack of balance between a courageous attack game and a compact defensive performance.
To make matters worse, with defensive boss and France debutant Ruben Aguilar and top striker Wissam Ben Yedder (six goals), two key players will not be available. The former Bayern keeper also has to do without his regular number one Lecomte in goal. In terms of personnel, it looks extremely bleak.
PSG :
Not only AS Monaco, but also Paris St. Germain are currently struggling with major personnel concerns. For example, Moise Kean, Pablo Sarabia, Mauro Icardi, Julian Draxler and Idrissa Gueye will not be available on Friday evening. There is also a bigger question mark behind Marco Verratti’s commitment. It remains to be seen whether Marquinhos, Paredes and Di Maria will appear, who are only expected back home 48 hours before the start of the game.
Because the important Champions League match at home against RB Leipzig is already on the program on Tuesday, Thomas Tuchel will certainly not take any excessive risk and instead provide a mixed team of stars and supplementary players. This is also the reason why on Friday between Monaco and PSG the odds for a prediction on a handicap success of the guests do not give a really attractive value.
From a purely statistical point of view, there is no doubt that the capitals will also win on the eleventh game day. The Tuchel-Elf has won all of the last eight league games, seven of them without conceding a goal. Overall, the series champions can look back on a goal difference of 26: 1 during this period, which impressively underpins the dominance of the star ensemble from the city of love.
Despite the listed failures and the fact that the match in the premier class probably has even higher priority, we are convinced that the quality will be sufficient to bring home a victory at the Stade Louis II. This is supported not least by the likely courageous approach of the home side, which Neymar, Mbappe and Co. will, conversely, offer some spaces in the Umschaltspiel.
Monaco vs Paris SG head to head matches
15.01.20 L1 Monaco Paris SG 1 : 4
12.01.20 L1 Paris SG Monaco 3 : 3
21.04.19 L1 Paris SG Monaco 3 : 1
11.11.18 L1 Monaco Paris SG 0 : 4
04.08.18 SC Paris SG Monaco 4 : 0