Read our prediction for Paris SG vs Dortmund below. This preview was written by a sport journalist who is specialised in betting tips and predictions. Use our betting tips for the match between Paris SG vs Dortmund and you can increase your winnings!
Paris SG vs Dortmund Prediction & Betting tips
Distortion of competition yes or no? UEFA officials are facing this question this week. Due to the continuing spread of the Corona virus, it was decided on Monday that the highly anticipated round of 16 second leg in the Champions League between Paris St. Germain and Dortmund will also take place in front of empty ranks.
Since the Bundesliga club had a home advantage in Signal Iduna Park three weeks ago and did not have to do without their own supporters, the debate about equal opportunities is definitely understandable. Regardless of the moral component, the yellow-blacks have all the trump cards in their own hands on Wednesday evening. Between PSG and Dortmund, lower odds are currently being offered by the best bookmakers to help BVB progress.
The good starting position before the away game in the French capital owes the team of Lucien Favre to the good performance from the first leg. At home the Westphalians prevailed with 2-1 and were even able to achieve an even better result. Ultimately, however, Paris marked the important away goal, which in turn meant that Mbappé, Neymar and Co. would already be 1-0 at home to avoid the end.
However, the current top constitution speaks for Borussia, with which they hurry from victory to victory at the national level and, above all, they cause a lot of furore. In addition, there is greater pressure on the shoulders of the Tuchel charges, who would probably release their coach for firing in the form of a layoff if they prematurely retired in the knockout round of the premier class.
In view of the recent impressions and the strong first leg of the Ruhrpottler, we venture between PSG and Dortmund to predict that the yellow-blacks will not lose. We even consider a bet on the away win to be a “value bet”, as BVB could possibly benefit from the fact that the supposed favorite must play fully for victory.
With 16 points from six games, just two goals conceded and an impressive 3-0 home win against Real Madrid, Paris St. Germain was one of the top teams in the Champions League group stage. As first place, the French series champion, Borussia Dortmund, was drawn for a second place group, which turned out to be too big in the first knockout round three weeks ago.
The star ensemble from Paris delivered an alarmingly poor performance in Signal Iduna Park and after 90 rather one-sided minutes had to be satisfied that they only had to go home with a 1: 2 defeat. Thanks to the away goals scored by Neymar on the basis of Mbappè, the team of coach Tuchel nevertheless maintained the good starting position.
Should the current Ligue 1 leader win the home game on Wednesday evening either 1-0 or by at least two goals, PSG would pull its head out of the loop again and make the quarter-finals perfect. Otherwise, there will be uncomfortable times for the former Dortmund coach Thomas Tuchel, who would probably be fired immediately if he left the group of 16 again.
The fact is that the greater pressure is of course on the shoulders of the Henkelpott aspirant from the French capital. Only the triumph in the Champions League counts for the donors. Despite crazy investments in the squad, the last semi-final entry in the premier class was 25 years ago (1995). The last three seasons have always been in the round of 16.
In our eyes, the same pressure situation is an argument for a PSG vs. Dortmund tip for the benefit of the guests. Parisians have to take more chances in the second leg and choose an offensive approach than in the first leg. This, in turn, should lead to some switching moments for the yellow-blacks, who will be absolutely predestined players in Sancho, Hakimi, Brandt or Haaland for such situations.
Statistically, fans can expect a few goals in front of the TV sets. Paris recently convinced regularly on the offensive, but was also very vulnerable on the defensive. Results like a 4: 2 against Lyon, a 4: 3 against Bordeaux or even a 4: 4 in Amiens support this thesis. The dress rehearsal last week, however, went according to plan in the 5-1 cup in Lyon. The league game scheduled for the weekend was canceled due to Corona.
Hope should also make Thomas Tuchel the record in the Champions League. For example, Paris has scored in this competition in the last 31 matches. Nine of the past 14 matches were victorious and in five out of eight cases in which the first leg was lost, it was still enough to advance. Not in the most recent two round of 16 matches.
To make matters worse in the second leg, Thomas Meunier and Marco Verratti, two potential regular players, will be suspended. Both saw their third yellow card in the first leg of the competition. The deployment of experienced central defender Thiago Silva is also at risk. Choupo-Moting and Dagba will also be injured.
Perhaps the most important week of this season started well for Borussia Dortmund last weekend. In the important away game with direct competitor Borussia Mönchengladbach, the yellow-blacks won 2-1 and thus celebrated their fifth competitive win in succession.
Coach Lucien Favre’s team is in excellent shape and is bursting with confidence. The winter newcomers Erling Haaland and Emre Can hit the mark perfectly and raised the entire BVB game to a new level. No wonder that the first fans are already dreaming of the championship or a deep run in the premier class.
It is also a fact that the situation can look very different again next Saturday. Should Borussia fly out of the Champions League on Wednesday and then also lose the district derby against Schalke 04, the positive atmosphere would already lapse. The upcoming matches have one thing in common: Both are played without fans!
It remains to be seen whether the bottom line is that the young Dortmund team actually benefits from not having to play against tens of thousands of enthusiastic French fans. In any case, we are convinced that the PSG vs. Dortmund odds on the “To Qualify” market have rightly flipped after the first leg. The Westphalians had their opponents completely under control over long distances and could also take the stars around Kylian Mbappé, Neymar or Di Maria out of the game.
If this also succeeds in the return game in the Prinzenpark, the prospects of progress are anything but bad. However, the away record of the Bundesliga club on the international stage speaks against it, because in the past 15 European Cup matches abroad, the ball game club has only celebrated three victories. Since 2013/2014, the Ruhrpottlers have not won an away game in the knockout round of the premier class. Does that change in Paris?
We weight the recently won impressions more than the historical statistics and therefore venture between PSG and Dortmund to make a prediction of the actual underdog, which, however, can pose problems for some of the teams that are more likely to be judged. In the following, you will find in our guide article “Successful outsider betting” on what should be considered when submitting a corresponding tip.
With the exception of Thomas Delaney and Marco Reus, Lucien Favre can draw on unlimited resources. With regard to the second leg of the CL, the Swiss coach even waived Jadon Sancho in his starting eleven on Saturday. The Dortmund top scorer (14 goals, 16 assists in the Bundesliga) will return to the main line-up on Wednesday. Otherwise, no changes are to be expected in the 3-4-3 system that has now been imported.
Paris SG vs Dortmund head to head matches
18.02.20 CL Dortmund Paris SG 2 : 1
04.11.10 EL Paris SG Dortmund 0 : 0
21.10.10 EL Dortmund Paris SG 1 : 1