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RB Leipzig vs Paderborn Prediction & Betting tips
RB Leipzig is aiming for the next important victory in the fight for the Champions League. The Red Bulls receive the bottom of the table SC Paderborn on matchday 30 – anything other than a home win in a duel against third against eighteenth would surely be a big surprise.
For Paderborn, meanwhile, it’s about clinging to the maybe last straw – only with three points do Paderborn’s hopes of not descending continue to flare up, with a simultaneous defeat of the Düsseldorfers, the relegation place would be halfway within reach – even if it continues to be very hopeless looks for the riser.
But without three points in Leipzig, the fate of East Westphalia is also virtually sealed mathematically. The bookmakers do not expect the guests to be surprised, as the odds against Leipzig at Paderborn show.
The high odds on Paderborn and the low odds on Leipzig are not only explained by the table positions of the two teams, but also by their series: For ten Bundesliga games, Julian Nagelsmann’s team has been unbeaten (four wins, six draws), while Paderborn has just been ten games waiting for a win (four draws, six losses).
On the last matchday, Nagelsmann’s team stormed the RheinEnergieSTADION in Cologne, defeating Effzeh 4-2. However, Nagelsmann called the performance in Cologne a “wave-like performance”, “very restless and confused”, despite four goals abroad, Leipzig did not bring peace to the game in Cologne. Nevertheless, there was a comfortable victory on the opponent’s place.
But at home the shoe was the last to be squeezed, there were three draws in a row (1-1 against Leverkusen, 1-1 against Freiburg, 2-2 against Hertha), bitter point losses in the highly competitive competition for the Champions League. Does this series continue? Those who bet on the fourth home draw in a row will be offered odds of around 9.00 at Leipzig against Paderborn.
Thanks to these ongoing homecareers, Leipzig is just two points ahead of fifth place on the Leverkusen. The Saxons will try to prevent the draw by all means this time – because they have a good chance of making up ground.
Since Bayer 04 have to play against FC Bayern Munich on Saturday afternoon, Leipzig could possibly even extend their lead over the non-Champions League position with a home win if the Rhinelanders miss points against the record champions from Munich, which is anything but unlikely is. All information about this top game as well as further tips and analyzes on the Bundesliga games can be found in our Bundesliga section.
However, those responsible at Leipzig don’t look at the CL rivals from Leverkusen, but at themselves. “We still have five games and want to get at least a two-cut,” said Leipzig managing director Oliver Mintzlaff after the victory in Cologne and calculated, what it takes to tie down to the premier class.
Nagelsmann may be able to fall back on Kevin Kampl for the home win. The Slovenian international recently dropped out in Cologne due to a pinched nerve, but he could be back against Paderborn. “With Kevin I am very happy that he is again a candidate for the first eleven,” said Nagelsmann. Even if you can count on Kampl starting on the bench.
Leipzig needs the points for the Champions League, Paderborn for survival in League 1. Paderborn coach Steffen Baumgart wants to “not only put in a very good performance” in Leipzig, “but also try to get points.”
These are also urgently needed, otherwise the SCP can no longer be saved. No one feels pressure to win in Paderborn, despite being 18th in the table and eight points behind the relegation place. Rather, B aumgart wants to spread positive mood and energy. “There is nothing better than to measure yourself against these opponents,” said the trainer’s coach about the supposedly overpowering opponent RB Leipzig.
Baumgart can again rely on key player Klaus Gjasula, who has served his suspension, during the guest appearance in Saxony. Gjasula has already conceded 15 yellow cards, so he already had his third yellow card suspension this season in the 1-6 win against Borussia Dortmund.
Already in Leipzig Gjasula can equalize a Bundesliga record: Former Schalke defender Tomasz Hajto holds the top spot, in 1998/99 he received 16 yellow cards. A yellow card in the game against Leipzig, and Gjasula draws Hajto in the category of warnings.
When Leipzig vs Paderborn you can also place your tip on a yellow card for Gjasula. If you want to bet that Gjasula will write in the history books and catch up with Hajto, you will find this bet at Bet365, the betting provider tested by the betting base.
Gjasula does not think of the inglorious record, but of a successful game in third place. Even if it is “of course difficult” to climb relegation place 16, Gjasula promises: “We will still give everything until the end.”
A surprise coup in Leipzig would at least keep the low hopes of the relegated climber alive.
RB Leipzig vs Paderborn head to head matches
30.11.19 BUN Paderborn RB Leipzig 2 : 3
26.02.16 2BUN Paderborn RB Leipzig 0 : 1
11.09.15 2BUN RB Leipzig Paderborn 2 : 0
17.08.14 POK RB Leipzig Paderborn 2 : 1 (1 : 1)