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Southampton vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting tips
Due to the semifinal matches in the FA Cup this weekend, there were already some Premier League games of the 33rd matchday during the week. Among other things, Manchester City was able to recapture the league lead with a victory over up and possibly also relegated Cardiff. On Friday night, Liverpool Football Club (ranked 79th, 79 points) again put pressure on the Citizens with a win at St Mary’s Stadium in Southampton (16th place, 33 points), which then ended with a game less could push to the top of the table. This cat-and-mouse game will last until the end of the season. Although Liverpool often cheated on three points in the last few weeks, no one will talk about the ways of the victories in a possible championship title in May. So the Reds are on the South Coast at Southampton against Liverpool, according to odds of all bookmakers the towering favorite on a win.
The Reds have won five of the most recent six Premier League games that took place on Fridays (5-1-0). The Reds lost 2-4 to Arsenal 2-4 in April 2004 in London last April. For the Saints it is again the first Premier League home game on a Friday since December 1991. At that time there was a 1-1 draw against Notts County. The five Friday matches in the Premier League all took place away from home (1-2-2). Just a while ago, so far is the only coach duel between Liverpool Jürgen Klopp and Saints coach Ralph Hasenhüttl. Klopp won in October 2012 in the DFB Cup with Borussia Dortmund with 4: 1 against the then coached by Hasenhüttl VfR Aalen. However, we do not expect such a clear victory on Friday night (live at Dazn and Sky Sports England).
The past match day could not have gone better from the Saints point of view. In the South Coast derby, Brighton scored a narrow 1-0 away win, allowing Southampton to win three out of the past seven Premier League away games (3-2-2) after not having had a threesome in the seven previous matches (0-1-6). The day after Cardiff was initially defeated by Chelsea 2-1 at home due to underground refereeing and conceded another man-bankruptcy on Wednesday at Man City. Thus, the Saints have five points clear of the last remaining relegation place still to seven games outstanding. So far, the coaching change to Ralph Hasenhüttl has paid off in full. Since taking over Southampton in the relegation zone in early December, the Saints have scored 24 points (7-3-6) in 16 games, which is ninth in the Hasenhüttl table. Also positive is that Hasenhüttl gives a number of young players a chance, such as Angus Gunn in goal or outfielder Yan Valery.
Curse and blessing at the same time is that this season only Everton (14 times) went more often with a goalless draw in the half-time break, as the Saints (13 times). Also on Friday no peat festival is to be expected. So between Southampton against Liverpool our tip is “under 2.5 goals”. The Saints have the chance to score three consecutive victories in the Premier League for the first time since May 2016 (then four games). If this succeeds, that would be a surprise, because between Southampton and Liverpool, according to odds of the betting shops, the Saints are just outsiders. Former Bundesliga player Pierre-Emile Höjbjerg has already scored four goals in this Premier League season, twice as many as in his previous six seasons. Jannik Vestergaard and Michael Obafemi are missing. Danny Ings is not eligible to play Liverpool’s loan.
It is a double-edged sword with Liverpool. For some, the Reds did not play good football in recent weeks and months. Not good enough to become a master. For the others, it is precisely these late and happy victories that make a top team and which could be the deciding points in the championship race over Man City in the end. Last weekend Liverpool were very lucky in the second half not to lose. The fact that the Reds actually won the game against Tottenham in the end seems to be an indication of all those who say this season is the year of Liverpool. Toby Alderweireld’s own goal was already the third winner for Liverpool this season in minute 90 or later. The own record is four goals of this kind (season 2008/09). Already before, there were close and happy victories at Anfield, as against Crystal Palace or Everton. Overall, the Reds scored 19 goals this season after the 75th minute of play (best score). This makes the Reds unbeaten in the league since 37 matches. In the Premier League history only Chelsea remained (86 games between 2004 and 2008) even longer without home defeat. Liverpool’s 79 points after 32 game days are the best ever at this point in a Premier League season. Previously, the record was 76 counters in the 1987/88 season.
On Friday evening hardly anything speaks against a success of the Reds. Liverpool have conceded only nine goals in 16 games this season, which is a shared best with Manchester City. In addition, the Reds conceded away only in the so far only league defeat in January at Man City more than one goal (then 1: 2). Recently, the Reds but had problems in the foreign games to win. Of the past six Premier League away games only two have been won, with relegated Fulham and relegation candidate Brighton (2-3-1). Twice Liverpool scored no goal, three times only one. Only against Fulham Liverpool could hit twice. Andy Robertson has already prepared nine goals in this Premier League season. Only Andy Hinchliffe (1994/95) and Leighton Baines (2010/11) came in a Premier League season on more assists (both eleven). The problems in foreign parts are closely related to the deadlock of Mohamed Salah. Although the Egyptian met in each of his three Premier League duels with Southampton (four goals), but he scored since eight competitive matches no goal for Liverpool. Salah’s longest Torless series since his time with Roma (ten matches between November 2015 and January 2016).
Southampton vs Liverpool head to head matches
22.09.18 PL Liverpool Southampton 3 : 0
11.02.18 PL Southampton Liverpool 0 : 2
18.11.17 PL Liverpool Southampton 3 : 0
07.05.17 PL Liverpool Southampton 0 : 0
25.01.17 EFL Liverpool Southampton 0 : 1