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Southampton and West Bromwich play at St. Mary’s Stadium in a 19th round Barclays Premier League duel. At this stage, the history of direct confrontations is favorable to the home team, which has 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 4 games. In fact, the last time they played at this stadium was on 16-01-2016, in a game for the Barclays Premier League that ended with the victory of Southampton by (3-0). The goals of the match were marked by J. Ward-Prowse (5 ‘and 35’) and D. Tadić (72 ‘) to Southampton. In this match the home factor may play an important role, as Southampton has significant differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.
Analysis of Southampton
After 6 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses, the home team is in 8th place, having won 24 points. In the last match, they lost to Tottenham at home (1-4), having won the away game in a game against Bournemouth (1-3). This is a stronger team when you play in your stadium, because in the last 30 games you have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses as a visitor; Against 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in his stadium. For the championship, the Southampton won 15 points in 27 possible, after 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 9 games that played in his stadium. In their home league games the most frequent marker in the break was 0-0 (5 out of 9 matches). In his home games there is a tendency towards few goals, since 7 of his last 9 games by the competition finished with Less than 2.5 goals. In 18 matches in this competition, he suffered the first goal 6 times and only got 1 turn on the scoreboard. In the last 15 home games in all competitions there are 2 highlights: he scored 7 of his 20 goals in minutes (61’-75 ‘); Suffered 4 of his 11 goals in the minutes (76’-90 ‘).
The Southampton team are coming to this unmotivated round due to their home defeat to Tottenham by 1-4: Van Dijk’s only goal was to score. In this home game, French coach Claude Puel is expected to keep the team in line at 4-3-3, benefiting from possession of the ball and organized attacks, exploiting in the best way the defensive fragility of the opponent. It is worth noting that Southampton have only 2 losses in 9 home games. Charlie Austin is the top scorer of the home team, however, remains removed due to a shoulder injury. In addition to this player, the coach does not account Redmond, suspended, in addition to Targett, Gardos, Clasie, Pied and McCarthy, injured.
The visiting team is currently in 9th place with 23 points, after 6 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, lost at home to Manchester United by (0-2). In the last match, lost out to Arsenal by (1-0). This is a team little affected by the house factor, that is, presents similar results at home and away, since in the last 30 games has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses as a visitor, with a total of 14 goals scored and 16 conceded. Already inside the home, won 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, with a total of 21 goals scored and 21 conceded. In the last 9 away games the West Bromwich record 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, having won 9 points out of 27 possible. In the matches played out in the league, the most frequent result at the end of the first 45 ‘was 0-0, which occurred in 6 of his 9 matches. The team allowed their opponents goals in 9 of the last 10 games for this competition, so they have not been very strong defensively. In his away games for this competition there is a tendency towards few goals, since in 7 of the last 9 that disputed there were less than 3 goals. In 18 games in this competition, he never managed to get back on the scoring in the 7 games in which he suffered the first goal. In the last 11 away games for all competitions there has been 1 period that stands out: he suffered 5 of his 11 goals between the minutes (76’-90 ‘).
The West Bromwich team arrives at this game with a 1-0 defeat at Arsenal, however, this was considered a good result, having suffered the only goal near the end of the game. In this game coach Tony Pulis is expected to line up in 4-3-3 privileging the defensive organization and the counterattacks, ie defending with the surrounding sectors, looking for the back of the Southampton defensive line. It is important to note that Salomón Rondón is the team’s top scorer with 7 goals scored. It seems that the visiting coach can count on all the players at his disposal.
Prediction: Southampton Win @ 1.77