Read our prediction for St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV below. This preview was written by a sport journalist who is specialised in betting tips and predictions.
St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Betting tips
The Hamburg derby between St. Pauli and HSV has not been as regular as it has been since the times of the Oberliga, i.e. before the Bundesliga was founded. The two rivals of the Hanseatic city are now playing together in the second division for the third year in a row. The position in the ranking plays, as always in the derby, only a subordinate role.
Still, of course, we take a look at the table of the second division. FC St. Pauli has now found itself after a bad first half of the season and fought for twelfth place after a winning streak. The relegation is currently no longer a big issue, because the Kiezkicker have worked out a cushion of eight points on the relegation zone.
St. Pauli :
FC St. Pauli is clearly on the upswing. This is directly linked to the name Guido Burgstaller, who is now in really good shape after a long injury. The Austrian has always scored in the last seven second division games and is thus on the hunt for records. It was Bobby Wood, who wears the HSV jersey today, who was the last player to win eight second division games in a row for Union Berlin in the 2015/16 season.
The Kiezkicker are currently rushing from victory to victory. Timo Schultz’s team left the field as winners four times in a row and has thus developed a very broad chest for the derby. Even if the last opponents were not among the top teams in the second division, it sounds interesting to check the odds for a home win between St. Pauli and HSV.
Darmstadt 98 was a guest at Millerntor last weekend. Guido Burgstaller and Omar Marmoush brought Hamburg 2-0 forward, before the Lilien deservedly equalized with a one-two punch. Nevertheless, Pauli had the better end on his side because Guido Burgstaller scored the 3-2 winner just a few minutes before the end.
In terms of personnel, there was a lot of guesswork around Finn Ole Becker during the week. The youngster has suspended training and it is not unlikely that Luca Zander will slip into the starting XI for it. Otherwise, Ryo Miyaichi and Christopher Avevor are only two Paulians on the list of injuries in the second division. For Christopher Buchtmann, however, a mission against HSV should come too early.
HSV :
It already looks like spring will be the phase of the season in which Hamburger SV gambled away their promotion to the Bundesliga. It was like that in the last two seasons and the parallels are once again unmistakable. Therefore, the derby against FC St. Pauli is extremely important, because a win at Millerntor could successfully initiate the final spurt in the promotion race.
The Rothosen are anything but bad, because in the last twelve games, which we reported on in our betting base for second division tips, Hamburg only lost once. In the meantime, however, there has been no victory for four games and therefore it is not the first choice in the derby between St. Pauli and HSV to make a prediction on the Rothosen.
Last weekend Daniel Thioune’s team presented itself really badly. At the bottom in Würzburg, Hamburg were 3-0 down shortly after the break, and deservedly. Only in the shooting phase did the diamond bearers rear up again and scored 2-3 with goals from Jeremy Dudziak and Bobby Wood. But there were no points for it.
Amadou Onana saw the traffic light card in the closing stages and will be missing in the derby. Stephan Ambrosius returns to the team after a yellow card suspension. Josha Vagnoman should start for Jan Gyamerah. Due to injury, only Klaus Gjasula, Rick van Drongelen and Toni Leistner will be missing from Hamburger SV.
St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV head to head matches
30.10.20 2BUN Hamburger SV St. Pauli 2 : 2
22.02.20 2BUN Hamburger SV St. Pauli 0 : 2
16.09.19 2BUN St. Pauli Hamburger SV 2 : 0
10.03.19 2BUN St. Pauli Hamburger SV 0 : 4
30.09.18 2BUN Hamburger SV St. Pauli 0 : 0
* Our advice is: Hamburger SV win
* Selection odd for this bet is: 2.00
* This analyis is from our perspective and we highly recommend to inform also yourself about all details that can be decisive in your choise to bet!