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Udinese vs Lecce Prediction & Betting tips
Most decisions have already been made in Italy, the most exciting is the fight for relegation – and this question could also be answered on Matchday 37. The last relegation is played between Genoa and Lecce.
The US Lecce has an absolute relegation endgame in front of their chest, because on the penultimate day of the match, the move to Serie B can already be sealed. Lecce has to win the game in Udine, otherwise the promoted player has to go straight back to Serie B after one year.
Only three points keep the hopes of relegation alive – but even a win could not be enough for Lecce if rival Genoa did not lose the game at Sassuolo.
The reason for this is revealed by looking at the table in Serie A: Before the game Udinese vs. Lecce, where the odds of the best bookmakers swing just towards the home side, Lecce is four points behind the Genoa CFC.
One point is enough for the Grifone to stay in the league, Lecce absolutely has to win his game with Udinese and at the same time hope that Genoa fails – otherwise it was with Serie A.
Udinese:
Up until matchday 34, Udinese himself had a few minor relegation worries on his forehead, but then the double relief and the final rescue followed with two wins in a row.
The home win against Juventus Turin on matchday 35 – where Udine marked the much-acclaimed 2-1 winning goal in added time was the big relief; before the 1-0 away win at Cagliari made the relegation clear.
Udine reached the minimal goal and got rid of all relegation concerns after a mixed season, during which the team mostly dodged between eleventh and 16th.
Now Udine promoted Lecce can shoot back into Serie B, a win or a draw at home would seal the relegation of the Giallorossi. Between Udinese and Lecce 1 / X odds of 1.39 on average are offered for a tip on the double chance – with a view of Lecce’s away record (six games without a win abroad, overall balance this season 4/3/11) that is one quite lucrative offer.
After all, Lecce has to win, otherwise the relegation is definitely determined, no matter what competitor Genoa does in parallel. That will open up spaces for Udine, but Lecce’s defense is not stable anyway: 43 goals conceded abroad are the negative value of Serie A, the total of 80 goals conceded this season anyway.
An offensive Lecce means a lot of space in the attack for Udinese – which is why in the game Udinese vs. Lecce favor the prediction of the home win.
Lecce:
Lecce’s last away win dates from February, when the Giallorossi surprisingly stormed San Paolo and beat SSC Napoli 3-2.
Only in two games this season Lecce was able to keep the zero abroad, otherwise there were always massive goals conceded, 43 in number – the already relegated Brescia comes on the same goal balance in the opponent’s place. If the defense is almost never tight, it will be difficult to win – this is not a new finding.
The away record, recently paired with the defensive weakness, would be a main reason why Lecce has to go into the second Italian league again after just one season if the game in Udine is not won.
Only two wins save Unione Sportiva from relegation, as opponent Genoa not only won four points, but also won the direct comparison against Lecce (2: 1, 2: 2) – which is the decisive factor in Italy in the event of a tie.
Udinese vs Lecce head to head matches
06.01.20 SA Lecce Udinese 0 : 1
01.02.12 SA Udinese Lecce 2 : 1
11.09.11 SA Lecce Udinese 0 : 2
03.04.11 SA Lecce Udinese 2 : 0
24.11.10 COP Udinese Lecce 2 : 1 (1 : 1)