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Wolfsburg vs Mainz Prediction & Betting tips
Because Eintracht Frankfurt and Union Berlin are still in a direct duel on Monday evening, the game on Sunday evening between Wolfsburg and Mainz will exceptionally not conclude the Bundesliga matchday this weekend.
The schedule turns out to be particularly unfortunate for the guests, because the team from the carnival stronghold will only be able to celebrate the “fifth season” properly on Rose Monday, but only if something countable should jump out in the Autostadt.
Before the game Wolfsburg against Mainz, however, the odds of serious bookmakers in Germany do not indicate that the Rheinhessen will kidnap one or even three points from Lower Saxony. By the way, here you will learn how to calculate the odds probabilities.
We don’t see the starting position of the Beierlorzer team that badly, because VfL was only able to win one of the last seven home games in the Bundesliga. In addition, the green-whites only had to play in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday evening, struggling to win 2-1 in front of their own fans against Malmo in the sixteenth-final first leg.
The FSV, however, has been preparing for the guest performance in the Volkswagen Arena meticulously for a week. The relegation candidate would very much like to celebrate the third away win from the past four matches and thus gain a small cushion in the fight for relegation. In our eyes, the bet on the success of the supposed underdog has the much more attractive value between Wolfsburg and Mainz, which is why it should make sense to bet on the underdog.
Wolfsburg:
After two extremely disappointing defeats at the start of the second half of the season, VfL Wolfsburg seems to have caught on. From the three Bundesliga games in February, the “Wolves” scored a decent seven points, and thus behind FC Bayern most in the current month.
In addition, the team of coach Oliver Glasner, who had been extremely criticized in the meantime, prevailed 2-1 against Malmö in the first leg of the Europa League intermediate round and can hope for the next round in Sweden next Thursday.
It will be exciting to see to what extent the Lower Saxony manages to focus on the Bundesliga between the two European Cup matches. The fact is that VfL has only won two of the six matches that took place immediately after a Europa League Thursday (two draws, two defeats).
This endeavor could prove to be difficult in that the green-whites are currently in the gray midfield of the table with 31 points. The gap to the international ranks is five points and it will still be difficult to qualify for the Europa League for the second year in a row. Especially when the Autostädter regularly drop feathers against teams from the lower half of the table.
If you ignore the more than solid start to the season with nine unbeaten games in a row, it then hailed among other things sensitive defeat against Werder Bremen, Hertha BSC or 1. FC Köln. The 1-1 draw two weeks ago against relegation candidate Fortuna Düsseldorf once again underlined the thesis that the Glasner-Elf, who have only scored 28 goals so far, find it extremely difficult to defend or fight underdogs.
The often lack of penetration in the game, coupled with the inevitable loss of substance that a Europa League first leg brings with it on Thursday evening, we dare between Wolfsburg and Mainz to predict that the guests could win again in the Volkswagen Arena for the first time since 2012.
The failure of midfield clock Maximilian Arnold, who has to watch blocked after his fifth yellow card, is also particularly serious. Winter newcomer Pongracic (red block), William, who was seriously injured at the knee, and the long-term injured Camacho are also not available. Changes in the starting eleven compared to the win against Malmö are definitely to be expected.
Mainz:
It was almost exactly three weeks ago that the Mainz team were 0-3 behind in the home game against Bayern after less than half an hour without a word and was in danger of conceding a slap. After one or the other change by trainer Beierlorzer, the zero five presented themselves much more stable in the following period and ultimately kept the bankruptcy with 1: 3 within limits.
In the two subsequent matches at Berlin’s Hertha (3: 1) and at home against FC Schalke 04 (0: 0), the Rheinhessen were particularly convincing defensively. The inglorious designation as the “shooting gallery of the league” has now been handed over to Werder Bremen. Only one goal in the past 240 Bundesliga minutes gives hope for a conciliatory end to the disappointing season so far.
On the one hand, Mainz have remained unbeaten in two consecutive Bundesliga games for the first time since May 2019. On the other hand, for the first time after 23 wins or losses, the points were shared with a counterparty.
True to the motto “The squirrel feeds itself laboriously”, the team from the carnival stronghold has already increased the lead on the relegation place to five points and on Sunday evening now has the chance to continue working on the starting position in the fight for relegation. The recent decent away record gives hope for a good result.
The Rheinhessen won three of the last six guest appearances in the top German division. With already four wins over the course of the season, the zero-five not only celebrated more victories abroad, but also scored more points than in front of their own fans. It is a disadvantage for rank 15. therefore not to travel to the Lower Saxony car capital on Sunday.
In fact, we are positive that the FSV, who scored 15 goals in five away games under Beierlorzer, adding more than in the previous 15 games in the distance, the weakness against teams from the top half of the table (nine bankruptcies in the past eleven matches) and provides a surprise on Sunday evening as part of the 23rd match day.
With the exception of Stefan Bell, who is still in advanced training, Achim Beierlorzer can draw on the full. It therefore seems quite possible that the former Cologne player will bet on the same starting eleven for the third time in a row. This could also turn out to be an argument to exploit the higher odds on the supposed outsider between Wolfsburg and Mainz.
Wolfsburg vs Mainz head to head matches
28.09.19 BUN Mainz Wolfsburg 0 : 1
16.02.19 BUN Wolfsburg Mainz 3 : 0
26.09.18 BUN Mainz Wolfsburg 0 : 0
23.02.18 BUN Mainz Wolfsburg 1 : 1
30.09.17 BUN Wolfsburg Mainz 1 : 1