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Atalanta vs Spal Prediction & Betting tips
At the end of the 20th matchday, a Champions League round of 16 will be honored in Serie A on Monday evening. Atalanta Bergamo meets Spal Ferrara. According to the odds, the home side are highly favored, which is partly due to the constellation in the table, but also due to the recent form curves of both teams.
“La Dea”, who crossed the finish line in the top Italian division last year in third place, has so far been able to fully meet the increased expectations. The team of Coach Gasperini is currently in fourth place and therefore has every opportunity to be represented in the premier class in 2020/2021.
The home game against the “Spallini” should not be more than a compulsory task, because the guests are in last place in the ranking and have only collected a meager twelve points so far. Although five of the youngest six games were lost, the bottom of the game usually gave their opponents a good stand, which is why between Atalanta Bergamo and Spal Ferrara the prediction of a relatively scarce success of the host is quite appealing.
The best Serie A offensive (49 goals scored) will encounter a low defensive that will try everything to keep the zero as long as possible. In this regard, the home game against the white and blue should differ from the recent home games against AC Milan or Parma (5-0 each).
So we do not follow the trend, we do not believe that the “Gli Orobici” can win again, but at Atalanta Bergamo against Spal Ferrara we decide to bet on a maximum of three goals in the course of the game.
Atalanta Bergamo:
Atalanta Bergamo is certainly the team in Italy that has seen the most impressive development in recent years. “La Dea” is now not only one of the most exciting teams in Serie A, but also one of the most feared.
The current fourth in the table, who won ten of 19 games this season (five draws, four defeats), has the best offensive in the country. Duvan Zapata and Co. have already scored a whopping 49 goals. Twenty-eight of these goals relate to the nine home games, three of which have already been lost (five successes, three draws).
On average, coach Gasperini’s squad marked more than three goals per home game, but also conceded more than one goal. The fact that the over 3.5 was cracked in eight of ten games at home at the Gewiss Stadium sometimes means that relatively low odds are also offered between Atalanta Bergamo and Spal Ferrara for a scoring spectacle on Monday evening.
Exactly, however, we see this as an opportunity, because admittedly hardly anyone expects a competitive duel. Taking the recent two 5-0 home wins against Parma or AC Milan as a yardstick, however, is the wrong approach. The “Nerazzurri” was only on the square during the week and, despite being outnumbered, retired from Coppa Italia by a 1: 2 defeat at Fiorentina. The disappointing performance may have left its mark.
In any case, we believe that the home side will find it harder to come up against the rear than last opponents from the middle of the table. Although the betting base is still based on a home win, it would not surprise us if it was relatively small with 2: 0, 3: 0 or even 2: 1.
On the right side of the defense, Gasperini has to improvise on Monday. Hans Hateboer is missing due to a yellow card suspension. His potential back-up Timothy Castagne is injured. Otherwise, the experienced coach can draw almost from the full. Changes to the appearance in the cup are not only conceivable, but very likely.
Spal Ferrara:
The “Spallini” can almost be sorry for you these days. In the third year after the surprising rise, there is much to suggest that the underdog will have to return to Serie B.
The “relegation” endeavor is not yet completely hopeless, but considering that only twelve points have been collected so far, there is a lack of belief that the proverbial goat can be overturned in the back series. Nevertheless, it should be noted that the bottom of the table is only three points behind the saving bank.
Compared to the direct competitors in the relegation battle, the “Biancazzurri” can also rely on a relatively stable defense. Only Udinese conceded fewer goals than the bottom in the bottom half of the table. In none of the 19 matches completed, Spal-Keeper Berisha, for whom the game against his parent club (the Albanian is only on loan) will certainly be something special, had to resort to more than three times.
In general, the white-light blue tends to be called the under-team. In twelve of 19 games alone, a maximum of two goals were scored. The over 3.5 was even cracked only three times. In this respect, the bet on less than four goals between Atalanta Bergamo and Spal Ferrara is anything but unrealistic.
The Semplici team, who lost 0-3 to AC Milan during the week at Coppa Italia, but missed out on some top performers, will rely on a stable defense and unnerving the offensive opponent with an extremely destructive style of play. We do not necessarily believe that a point win for the underdog ultimately emerges, but we would still not bet on a high defeat of the bottom of the table.
Felipe, Valdifiori, D’Alessandro, Fares and by far the best attacker Petagna have to pass injured. Because the “Spallini” have only scored twelve of their own in the current season, it can be assumed that they will remain without a goal in Bergamo. Accordingly, a tip on the home win to zero would be worth considering.
Atalanta vs Spal head to head matches
25.08.19 SA Spal Atalanta 2 : 3
10.02.19 SA Atalanta Spal 2 : 1
17.09.18 SA Spal Atalanta 2 : 0
07.04.18 SA Spal Atalanta 1 : 1
05.11.17 SA Atalanta Spal 1 : 1